Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.090248 0.100473 0.110993 0.122597 0.135012 0.147870 0.162165
2025-01-05 0.073771 0.089100 0.105721 0.124956 0.146478 0.169694 0.196509
2025-01-12 0.061664 0.080203 0.101265 0.126653 0.156121 0.188952 0.227997
2025-01-19 0.052023 0.072508 0.096794 0.127139 0.163478 0.205060 0.255692
2025-01-26 0.048827 0.071875 0.100117 0.136371 0.180789 0.232598 0.296737
2025-02-02 0.043085 0.067236 0.097871 0.138296 0.188971 0.249195 0.324953
2025-02-09 0.038767 0.063877 0.096755 0.141219 0.198080 0.266749 0.354306
2025-02-16 0.033941 0.059244 0.093486 0.140967 0.202901 0.278886 0.377045
2025-02-23 0.032490 0.059175 0.096166 0.148377 0.217433 0.303079 0.414708
2025-03-02 0.030725 0.058422 0.097749 0.154230 0.229943 0.324827 0.449546
2025-03-09 0.026661 0.053748 0.093459 0.151806 0.231384 0.332437 0.466687
2025-03-16 0.022793 0.048935 0.088579 0.148212 0.230979 0.337477 0.480458
2025-03-23 0.021326 0.048035 0.089580 0.153157 0.242518 0.358586 0.515581
2025-03-30 0.019607 0.046554 0.089632 0.156766 0.252381 0.377789 0.548717
2025-04-06 0.017760 0.044630 0.088851 0.159085 0.260472 0.394769 0.579225
2025-04-13 0.015776 0.042201 0.087074 0.159782 0.266229 0.408669 0.605851
2025-04-20 0.015951 0.043888 0.091993 0.170623 0.286443 0.442102 0.658307
2025-04-27 0.014517 0.042245 0.091314 0.172890 0.294459 0.459208 0.689498
2025-05-04 0.013419 0.041136 0.091424 0.176305 0.304114 0.478589 0.723828
2025-05-11 0.011838 0.038788 0.089243 0.176014 0.308320 0.490531 0.748353
2025-05-18 0.011733 0.039654 0.092678 0.184641 0.325650 0.520606 0.797271
2025-05-25 0.011368 0.039880 0.094960 0.191441 0.340354 0.547175 0.841679
2025-06-01 0.009757 0.036968 0.091390 0.188627 0.340663 0.553710 0.859101